Saturday, May 30, 2015

How Nash equilibrium changed economics

John Nash, the US mathematician who has died at 86 with his wife in a car crash, is hailed with putting game theory at the heart of economics. Ferdinando Giugliano explains why his work is so important and how the Nash equilibrium theory works.

 

Volcano erupts on Japanese island

A volcano on the Japanese island of Kuchinoerabu-jima has erupted, spewing ash some 9,000 metres into the sky. As officials warn of further large-scale eruptions, the island’s 140 residents face evacuation and air traffic is being diverted.

 

Hurry sickness — an epidemic affecting executives

Richard Jolly, professor of organisational behaviour at London Business School, explains ‘hurry sickness’. He tells the FT’s Charlotte Clarke that executives are rushing around with little time to think, reducing their ability to focus on key priorities.

 

Monday, April 20, 2015

IMF chief on growth and Greece; FT editor on China

Christine Lagarde, the head of the International Monetary Fund, talks with the FT's World Trade editor, Shawn Donnan, about the global economic recovery, Greece and the new Chinese development bank.

"There has been a huge commitment by the international community, the European partners but also the IMF and the European Central Bank to actually support the Greek economy,” Lagarde said.

"What needs to happen now is that the political views need to actually deliver the measures, the tools, the reforms that could actually reach the objectives that have been set between the international community and Greece: restore stability, improve the economy [and] make sure that one of these days Greece re-accesses the financial markets on its own and without support.”

Technical negotiations in Athens between the Greek government and staff from the IMF and European institutions were “gradually picking up”, she said. “We really hope that is going to continue to fruition so that we can move on.”

 

China is attempting to assert its position globally, but economic growth is at its slowest for six years. Lionel Barber, FT editor, who recently interviewed the Chinese premier, talks to emerging markets editor James Kynge about the pressures facing Beijing.

On Sunday the People’s Bank of China announced a move to boost lending to business by cutting its so-called the reserve requirement ratio by 1 percentage point, days after data revealed the country’s economy expanded at its slowest pace for six years in the first quarter.

The FT reports that the PBoC has only once before reduced the reserve requirement ratio by as much and that was during the depths of the financial crisis in November 2008.

 

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

How not to be ignorant about the world

How much do you know about the world? Hans Rosling, professor of international health at Sweden's world renowned Karolinska Institute, who is also the world's most famous statistician, with his famous charts of global population, health and income data (and an extra-extra-long pointer), in 2014 demonstrated that you have a high statistical chance of being quite wrong about what you think you know.

Play along with his audience quiz in this video — then, from Hans’son Ola, learn 4 ways to quickly get less ignorant.

 

Hans Rosling in 2006: The best stats you've ever seen

 

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Data journalism

In 2012 Nate Silver correctly predicted the presidential election results for 50 US states and since then his FiveThirtyEight digital news operation has been acquired by ESPN, the sports cable network owned by Walt Disney. Nate Silver meets Matthew Garrahan, the FT's global media editor, at Manhattan's 21 Club to talk about the UK elections, Hillary Clinton and the growth of data journalism.

 

Monday, March 02, 2015

Ireland's postwar welcome for Nazi war criminals

In 1959 Otto Skorzeny, Hitler's favourite Nazi commando, famous for rescuing Mussolini, the Italian fascist leader, from an Italian hilltop fortress, and known as "the most dangerous man in Europe," became an Irish farmer. 
Winner of the Globe Gold Award (Documentary section) at the Intermedia World Media Festival in Hamburg, this 2007 two-part series sees Royal Air Force (RAF) veteran Cathal O'Shannon (1928-2011) uncover the truth about the war criminals and collaborators who found refuge in Ireland, in particular officials and politicians, in the years after World War 2.

Saturday, February 07, 2015

A week of Greek and European brinkmanship -Videos

Jan 30, 2015: Yanis Varoufakis, Greece's new finance minister, interviewed on BBC's Newsnight.

Feb 5, 2015: The FT's John Authers quizzes Citi's Jonathan Stubbs on the reasons to buy European stocks. Europe looks cheap, but arguably the answer boils down to two letters: QE.

Feb 05, 2015: Greek bank shares fell by up to 25% on Thursday after the European Central Bank's latest move on funding. Lex's Robert Armstrong and Oliver Ralph discuss the volatile pickle that Greek banks find themselves in.

Feb 05, 2015: The FT's Stefan Wagstyl reports on the meeting between Yanis Varoufakis, Greek finance minister and Wolfgang Schäuble, his German counterpart – the climax of a roadshow in which Greece’s leftwing government had sought to win support for its debt plans.

Feb 04, 2015: John Authers reports from New York on a nasty surprise for markets from the European Central Bank. The negotiations over Greek debt remain risky; and the oil price's sudden rally takes a reverse.

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Financial Times in 2015 predominantly a digital publication

The Financial Times is the world's digital trailblazer among significant old world newspapers.

The Financial Times, a leading provider of business news, commentary, and analysis for almost 127 years, uses salesforce.com across the entire organization, including ad sales teams, journalists, and back office personnel. "The ability to consolidate onto one platform has had a big impact for us. It's more cost-effective to maintain and support, and users only have to log into one place," says Christina Scott, CIO.

Finfacts Dec 2014: Web & News: Big brand newspapers, magazines finding digital model that works

The Financial Times came into life 127 years ago on February 13th 1888. Journalists and editors, past and present, reflect on the values of the FT and how it has changed, especially in the last 25 years and the start of the digital revolution. The contributors are Nigel Lawson, former UK chancellor of the exchequer, Richard Lambert, former editor, John Lloyd, Lucy Kellaway and Lionel Barber, the current editor.

Monday, January 26, 2015

Empire of the pig: China’s insatiable appetite for pork

Of all the meat options, pork reigns king in China. To keep up with demand, China now rears (and eats) nearly 500 million pigs a year—more than half of all the swine in the whole world.

The Economist says that while most of the pigs China eats are home-grown, each kilogram of pork requires 6kg of feed, usually processed soy or corn. Given the scarcity of water and land in China, it cannot feed its pigs as well as its people. The upshot is that Chinese swine, which previously ate household scraps, increasingly rely on imported feed.

Mindi Schneider of the International Institute of Social Studies in The Hague has estimated that more than half of the world’s feed crops will soon be eaten by Chinese pigs. By 2010 China’s soy imports accounted for more than 50% of the total global soy market. From a low base, grain imports are rising fast as well: the US Grains Council, a trade body, predicts that by 2022 China will need to import 19m-32m tonnes of corn. That equates to between a fifth and a third of the world’s entire trade in corn today.

Land use is changing drastically on the other side of the world and in Brazil, more than 25m hectares of land—parts of which were once Amazon rainforest—are being used to cultivate soy (Chinese companies have not signed up to the “soy roundtable”, a voluntary association, the members of which agree not to buy soyabeans from newly deforested land).

The newspaper/ magazine says entire species of plants and trees are being sacrificed to fatten China’s pigs. Argentina has chopped down thousands of hectares of forest and shifted its traditional cattle-breeding to remote areas to make way for soyabeans. Since 1990 the Argentine acreage given over to that crop has quadrupled: the country exports almost all of its whole soyabeans—around 8m tonnes—to China. In some areas farmers harvest two or three crops a year, using herbicides that have been linked to birth defects and increased cancer rates.

However, the significance of pork goes deeper than culinary tastes. They have been at the centre of Chinese culture, cuisine and family life for thousands of years. So why are pigs so important to China?

Economist report

What now for the House of Saud?

Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud has succeeded King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia. Hugh Carnegy and Roula Khalaf assess the implications of King Abdullah’s death amid the sharp fall in oil prices and the rise of Islamist extremism in the Middle East.

UK retailers face food/non-food disparity

With falling oil prices consumers should have more to spend but they’re certainly not splashing out on food. The FT's Lex’s Alan Livsey and Robert Armstrong discuss the disparity between the fortunes of the UK’s food and non-food retailers.

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

The world of public debt

FT chief economics commentator Martin Wolf discusses global debt sustainability with Gavyn Davies, chairman of Fulcrum Asset Management. They point out the improving situation in the US and UK, but are concerned about the Eurozone periphery and China.

Despite the biggest restructuring in history in 2012, Greece’s debts are still at about 174% of GDP, a fact that has helped the radical left Syriza party ride high in the polls on a platform of “debt forgiveness” from the country’s lenders ahead of elections later this month.

Together with the IMF, the Financial Times says that it has designed an online, interactive tool based on the fund’s economic model that calculates a country’s debt trajectory and how it is affected by an array of factors such as economic growth, borrowing costs and public belt-tightening. Assumptions can be tweaked to see how debts can be tamed, or increased. But it cannot determine exactly when a country is bankrupt.

Wednesday, December 24, 2014

The Three Tenors Christmas Concert 1999

The Three Tenors - Spanish singers Plácido Domingo (b. 1941) and José Carreras (b. 1946) and the Italian singer Luciano Pavarotti (1935-2007) - perform for Christmas in Vienna in 1999.


Tuesday, December 09, 2014

Irish Income Tax 2015: Numbers by income range

Data issued by the Department of Finance in December in response to a parliamentary question:

All income earners for Income Tax Year 2015 (provisional)

Range of Gross Income - € Number of Income Earners
0 to 9,000 368,585
9,001 to 12,000 107,297
12,001 to 15,000 116,836
15,001 to 20,000 213,112
20,001 to 25,000 216,626
25,001 to 30,000 201,085
30,001 to 40,000 324,506
40,001 to 50,000 229,709
50,001 to 60,000 157,805
60,001 to 70,000 107,045
70,001 to 80,000 77,378
80,001 to 100,000 91,301
100,001 to 120,000 47,956
120,001 to 150,000 34,809
150,001 to 200,000 22,512
Over  200,001  24,642
Total 2,341,203

Monday, November 10, 2014

Fall of Berlin Wall - 25 years later

In the Interview - Former German Foreign Minister Hans-Dietrich Genscher looks back on the road to German unity. Who threw up barriers? And who helped things along? Germany's former foreign minister recalls the days when Berlin was making world history and assesses what has been achieved since for Germany and Europe.

November 9th 2014 marks the 25th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall - a happy date in German history. But many of the country’s neighbors were against the idea of a reunited Germany back then, worried that it would once again seek to dominate Europe. What role should and can Germany now play in both Europe and the rest of the world?

Berlin has changed considerably since the fall of the Wall. But traces of the 160-kilometer-long border that once divided East and West Berlin can be found at the Brandenburg Gate and the East Side Gallery - and elsewhere, too!

Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Steven Pinker on bad and good writing

The psychologist and word-usage expert has produced a new style guide with cognitive sensibilities called "The Sense of Style."

Steven Pinker, a Harvard University professor, in the book 'The Sense of Style: The Thinking Person’s Guide to Writing in the 21st Century' according to The Economist steers:

writers towards a “classic style”, in which the writer clearly points out things that may have escaped the reader’s notice, but which anyone can understand with patient guidance. Classic style uses concrete words in straightforward sentences easily parsed by man’s limited brain. Bad writing, exemplified by academese, bureaucratese and bewildering gadget manuals, does the opposite. Sentences are long, filled with abstract words, and make sense only to those who already know most of the information. (Mr Pinker admits that he struggles daily with papers in his own academic field.)

Why, psychologically, is bad writing bad? Working memory, which holds syntactic constructions in mind until they are complete, is easily overwhelmed. Mr Pinker uses memorable (and often funny) examples to show exactly what kind of sentences tax the mind. For example, violating expectations, such as upsetting chronological order, makes the reader do extra work. (When financial journalists say that an equity fell to $76 from $110, they invite confusion.) And the much-derided passive voice can make a passage flow more smoothly by preserving the ideal order of old information, then new.

Wednesday, October 08, 2014

Chris Soghoian's wake-up call on internet privacy

Digital Editor of The Economist Tom Standage interviews Christopher Soghoian, Principal Technologist and Senior Policy Analyst, Speech, Privacy and Technology Project, American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU).

China's territorial claims in Asia

The Economist says one reason China’s spectacular rise sometimes alarms its neighbours is that it is not a status quo power. From its inland, western borders to its eastern and southern seaboard, it claims territory it does not control.

In the west, China’s border dispute with India is more than a minor cartographic tiff. China claims an area of India that is three times the size of Switzerland, the state of Arunachal Pradesh.

Further west, China occupies Indian claimed territory next to Ladakh in Kashmir, an area called the Aksai Chin. China humiliated India in a brief, bloody war over the dispute in 1962. Since 1988, the two countries have put the dispute on the backburner and got on with developing commercial ties, despite occasional flare-ups.

More immediately dangerous is the stand-off between China and Japan over disputed islands in the East China Sea, known as the Senkakus in Japan and Diaoyu in Chinese.

Monday, August 11, 2014

Why London is the most expensive city to build in

Oddly-shaped buildings and unexploded bombs are two reasons it costs more to build in London than any other city.

Tuesday, July 22, 2014

Putin, Ukraine and the airliner crash

FT leader writer James Blitz and East Europe editor Neil Buckley discuss what Russian president Vladimir Putin and western leaders will do next after a Malaysian civilian airliner was shot down in eastern Ukraine with the loss of 298 lives.

Monday, June 02, 2014

Google's self-drive car

Google says: "Fully autonomous driving has always been the goal of our project, because we think this could improve road safety and help lots of people who can't drive.

We're now developing prototypes of vehicles that have been designed from the ground up to drive themselves—just push a button and they'll take you where you want to go! We'll use these vehicles to test our software and learn what it will really take to bring this technology into the world."

 Google hopes that by this time next year, 100 of its driverless two-seaters will be on public roads, following extensive testing. The cars would not be for sale and instead would be provided to select operators for further tweaking and have limitations such as a 40-kilometre-per-hour top speed.

United States prison rate has quadrupled since 1960s




Source: The Brookings Institution’s Hamilton Project.

*Rates are from 2013 for all countries with the exception of Greece, Israel, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland and the United States, which are from 2012; and Canada, which is from 2011–12. The rate for Britain is a weighted average of England and Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland.

The New York Times says that despite a recent dip, the incarceration rate in the United States has almost quadrupled since the 1960s. The US now has far more people in prison as a share of its population than any other developed country and partly reflects the failed 'War on Drugs' which has criminalised a generation of young men.

Sunday, May 25, 2014

California student gunman left chilling video before rampage

Before he set out on a rampage through the California seaside college town of Isla Vista on May 23, that ended with seven dead and 13 injured, suspected gunman Elliot Rodger (22) calmly laid out his plans online and said he was a virgin as girls had rejected him.

The video was posted on Youtube but was later removed.

The Wall Street Journal reports that investigators said Rodger was found dead in his vehicle with three handguns—two Sig Sauer 226 and a Glock 34, all purchased legally in California and registered to the suspect.

The Journal said Elliot Rodger, a Rodger family spokesman said Saturday, had a difficult time making friends. He had been diagnosed as a "high functioning Asperger's child" earlier in life, and was being treated by many mental health professionals, said Alan Shifman, a lawyer for Peter Rodger, the father of Elliot Rodger. Peter Rodger is a Hollywood director who worked as an assistant director on "The Hunger Games."

Monday, May 19, 2014

A Deutsche Bank chief warns traders on being ‘boastful, indiscreet and vulgar’

Colin Fan, co-head of Deutsche Bank’s investment bank, has warned traders in an internal video that being ‘boastful, indiscreet and vulgar’ will have ‘serious consequences’. Andrew Hill, FT management editor, tells Daniel Garrahan why he’s a fan of Mr Fan.